**AUD/USD Holds Bearish Stance, Trades Near 0.6600 Level**
*Based on original reporting by Pablo Piovano for FXStreet, with additional market commentary and analysis.*
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The Australian dollar (AUD) continues to face significant downward pressure against its US counterpart (USD), with the AUD/USD currency pair hovering just above the psychologically and technically critical 0.6600 level as of the North American session on June 19, 2024. This article delves into the key factors influencing the pair, recent price action, and potential scenarios ahead, drawing upon Pablo Piovano’s analysis for FXStreet and supplementing it with insights from other reputable sources.
### Market Overview: Persistent Bearish Momentum for AUD/USD
– The AUD/USD pair remains under bearish influence, unable to establish sustained upward momentum.
– Recent sessions have witnessed sellers maintaining control, pushing the pair lower, and testing support levels near 0.6600.
– The market focus is attuned to both domestic Australian data and the evolving narrative from the United States Federal Reserve, which has directly impacted the US dollar’s performance in global markets.
### Price Action and Technical Context
– Australian dollar bulls have struggled to break through resistance, with the pair capped beneath the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the four-hour chart.
– The bearish tone was reinforced following a broad USD rebound, emboldened by robust US economic figures and cautious signals from the Federal Reserve.
– Key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remain in neutral or slightly bearish territory, indicating a lack of buying conviction.
– Sellers have successfully defended the 0.6650 resistance, keeping the pair subdued and increasing the risk of a downside extension.
#### Immediate Technical Focus
– The most significant short-term support lies at the 0.6600 figure, a level that has repeatedly attracted buying interest but is increasingly vulnerable.
– Should the pair decisively break below 0.6600, further support is anticipated at 0.6570 (the June lows), followed by 0.6525, the lowest point reached in May.
– On the upside, resistance is first layered at 0.6640-0.6650, then more firmly at 0.6700, representing the pair’s June highs.
**Support and Resistance Levels:**
| Level | Type | Description |
|————–|————|——————————|
| 0.6600 | Support | Psychological, recent lows |
| 0.6570 | Support | June swing low |
| 0.6525 | Support | May 2024 multi-month low |
| 0.6640-0.6650| Resistance | Previous session highs |
| 0.6700 | Resistance | Early June high |
### Macroeconomic Drivers Behind AUD/USD Decline
#### Australian Side:
– Australia’s economic landscape
Read more on AUD/USD trading.
