**Forex Technical Major Pairs Analysis – December 19, 2025**
*By Syaifullah Muhammad | Credit: FX Daily Report*
The currency markets continue to chart an intriguing course as traders evaluate macroeconomic dynamics, central bank policies, and evolving geopolitical risks. On December 19, 2025, the spotlight remains on the US Dollar’s sensitivity to FOMC guidance, shifting inflation expectations, and data-driven sentiment. Major currency pairs are grappling with mixed fundamentals as we approach the critical year-end period. In this technical analysis by Syaifullah Muhammad, we break down the prevailing setups and tactical considerations for key pairs including EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, and USD/CAD.
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### EUR/USD: Bulls Gain Momentum Against Resistance
The euro’s rebound against the US dollar has been impressive in recent sessions, challenging notable resistance thresholds. Following a spate of mixed US data and dovish commentary from the Federal Reserve, the EUR/USD pair rebounded with conviction, underscoring a shift in sentiment.
**Daily Technical Overview:**
– The pair has staged a recovery above the ascending trendline, pushing past the 1.0900 psychological handle. The move reflects both euro strength and an unwind of USD long positions.
– Key resistance levels are marked at 1.1000 and 1.1040. Convincing closes above these could catalyze further upward extension.
– On the downside, price action remains supported at 1.0870 and the weekly low of 1.0820. Any sustained dip below these marks may reverse the bullish scenario.
– The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is approaching overbought conditions near 70, mirroring market enthusiasm.
– The 50-day Moving Average (MA) has crossed above the 200-day MA, confirming a medium-term bullish bias (golden cross).
– Key moving averages now act as support: the 20-day MA at 1.0830 and the 50-day MA at 1.0775.
**Tactical Outlook:**
– Bulls will look for price stability above 1.1000 to target 1.1100.
– Bears might attempt to fade rallies near resistance, with stops above 1.1040 and initial targets at 1.0870.
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### GBP/USD: Sterling Eyes Range Breakout
The British pound maintains a resilient tone as it seeks a breakout from its consolidation pattern versus the US dollar. The Bank of England’s wait-and-see approach adds a layer of caution, yet firm UK retail data and political clarity support the pair.
**Technical Highlights:**
– The pair traded in a tight range, oscillating between 1.2700 and 1.2820 in the previous week.
– The daily chart records a bullish bias with higher lows, and price action is coiling up for a decisive move.
– The 20-day MA is ascending and offers dynamic support at 1.2680.
– Near-term resistance is at 1.2820, above which the next target is 1.2890.
– The reversal point for the bulls is the 1.2600 major support level. A breach of this threshold could open the path toward 1.2500 and the November lows.
**Strategy Considerations:**
– A break above 1.2820 on convincing volume could spur a run toward 1.2950.
– Failure to hold the 1.2600 floor would reinforce selling pressure, targeting further downside.
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### USD/JPY: Range Trading Amid Moderation
Recent sessions have seen the Japanese yen treading water against the US dollar. A lack of hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of Japan, coupled with subdued US yields, leaves USD/JPY range-bound for now.
**Technical Picture:**
– USD/JPY is confined within 143.50 support and 146.60 resistance, showing
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