USD/CAD Rebounds on Technical Support Signal a Bullish Breakout Amid Strong Fundamentals

**USD/CAD Price Rebounds Due to Strong Technical Support: A Comprehensive Forex Analysis**
*Adapted and expanded from the original article by Economies.com, October 23, 2025.*

The USD/CAD currency pair has recently shown renewed bullish momentum, driven by strong support at a key technical level. On October 23, 2025, the pair confirmed a rebound that reinforces bullish sentiment and indicates a potential continuation of its short-term uptrend. In this detailed analysis, we explore the underlying technical and fundamental factors contributing to the pair’s recent price behavior and broader market dynamics impacting the USD/CAD exchange rate.

This article incorporates analysis based on the original piece published by Economies.com, supplemented with external data and updated context to present a detailed outlook for traders and market observers.

## Current Price Action Overview

On October 23, 2025, the USD/CAD currency pair showed signs of renewed upward movement, sparked by a bounce from the vital technical support zone around 1.3635. The initial retracement downward was halted as buyers re-entered the market, suggesting that this level continues to act as a foundational support zone for the pair’s price behavior.

Key highlights from the current USD/CAD price action:

– The pair rebounded from a well-established support region near the level of 1.3635.
– The recent candle formations on the 4-hour and daily charts suggest buying pressure is increasing.
– Price action has broken above minor consolidation, indicating bullish momentum could build further.

This recent upward movement aligns with expectations for the continuation of the bullish trend, especially if the pair manages to close above the resistance near 1.3730 in the upcoming sessions.

## Technical Analysis

The ongoing structure in USD/CAD reflects a bullish bias fueled by technical triggers. Let’s assess the critical technical indicators influencing USD/CAD performance.

### Support and Resistance Levels

– **Key Support**: 1.3635 — This level has repeatedly acted as a reliable downside cushion, halting multiple sell-offs in the recent past.
– **Next Resistance**: 1.3730 — A short-term resistance area that, if violated, could trigger another leg higher.
– **Stronger Resistance**: 1.3800 — A psychological and historical resistance zone to be monitored if the bullish trend persists.

The rebound from the key support at 1.3635 marks a potential bullish reversal point that could catalyze further gains in the coming sessions. Traders should watch for a confirmed daily close above 1.3730 to validate the continuation of the bullish wave.

### Trend Indicators

– **50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA)**: Positioned below the current price, which signals that near-term momentum remains bullish.
– **14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: Hovering around 58, suggesting the market is gaining positive momentum but is not yet overbought.
– **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**: Histogram bars are turning positive, and a bullish crossover is expected within the next few candles, signaling an increase in upward pressure.

From a trend analysis perspective, the technical indicators support bullish continuation, especially after the strong defense of key support levels.

## Fundamental Factors Influencing USD/CAD

Beyond technicals, the USD/CAD rate is influenced by macroeconomic fundamentals and monetary policy stances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Canada (BoC). Here are the main factors currently affecting price behavior.

### U.S. Dollar Strength

– **Hawkish Fed Tone**: The Federal Reserve continues to signal a cautious but firm stance against inflation. Investors anticipate higher-for-longer interest rates, providing support for the greenback.
– **Inflation and Employment Data**: Recent consumer price index (CPI) and non-farm payroll data have exceeded predictions, reinforcing belief in a robust U.S. economy and signaling tightening conditions which support the USD.
– **U.S. Treasury

Read more on USD/CAD trading.

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