EUR/USD Technical Analysis – 13 November 2025
Original Analysis by: Crispus Nyaga
Source: DailyForex.com
The EUR/USD currency pair has experienced notable volatility in recent sessions, as traders attempt to gauge the future direction of monetary policy from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the U.S. Federal Reserve. On Tuesday, 12th November 2025, the euro hovered near its recent high against the U.S. dollar, driven by market expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Fed in the upcoming months.
This heightened anticipation has influenced investor sentiment, amplifying movements in the forex market. As technical indicators provide mixed signals, traders and analysts alike are closely monitoring key levels that could determine the pair’s future trajectory.
Current Market Overview
As of 13 November 2025, the EUR/USD stands at approximately 1.0780, after nearing the significant resistance zone at 1.0800 on the previous trading day. The pair is trading at its highest level in six weeks, continuing the upward movement that began in early October 2025.
Several factors are contributing to this trend:
– Market expectations of a dovish U.S. Federal Reserve
– Weakening economic indicators in the United States
– Stabilizing inflation projections in the eurozone
– Hawkish rhetoric from select ECB policymakers
Together, these have fueled a stronger euro, although the resilience of the U.S. dollar still presents challenges to further gains.
Key Technical Indicators
As the EUR/USD attempts to maintain upward momentum, various technical indicators offer insights into potential future price movements. Here’s a breakdown of the main signals:
• 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Price action has remained above this critical trend indicator, suggesting overall bullish sentiment. Currently, the 50-day EMA sits near 1.0650, far below the current price, reinforcing the strength of the current uptrend.
• 200-Day EMA: Located just above the 1.0800 psychological barrier, this longer-term average acts as a significant resistance level. A clean break above this zone would signal the possible formation of a long-term bullish trend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI currently sits below the overbought level of 70, indicating that the uptrend may still have room to grow before a strong correction sets in. However, it has begun to level off, suggesting a need for consolidation.
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Momentum continues to support bullish sentiment, with the MACD line above the signal line. This reflects a continuation of upward behavior, although divergence is slightly weakening.
Resistance and Support Levels
Critical support and resistance zones come into sharper focus as the pair trades within a tight range following its latest rally.
Resistance Areas:
– 1.0800: A psychological resistance that overlaps with the 200-day EMA. It has capped the upside in the recent sessions. A strong breakout could open the door toward 1.0950 or even the 1.1000 handle.
– 1.0950: The next level to watch if bullish momentum persists. It served as a consolidation zone in late August 2025.
– 1.1000: A major psychological level and the next long-term target, which would require positive European data or increasing Fed dovishness to reach.
Support Areas:
– 1.0730: A recent minor support where buyers have stepped in during intraday pullbacks. Holding above this level would preserve bullish sentiment.
– 1.0650: Aligned with the 50-day EMA, breaking below this could shift focus to deeper corrective zones.
– 1.0600: This round-number level marks the base of the recent recovery, and a decisive breakdown here would jeopardize the ongoing rally.
Fundamental Drivers Behind the Move
Several underlying economic and policy factors continue to influence EUR/USD dynamics.
US Economic Weakness:
– Recent data releases from the United States have
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