**AUD/USD Forex Signal Analysis and Outlook – November 18, 2025**
*Based on the original article by Adam Lemon, DailyForex.com*
—
**Overview of Recent Market Action**
The AUD/USD currency pair has encountered a notable level of volatility, driven by global risk appetite shifts and macroeconomic developments. As the Australian dollar faces a complex international backdrop, recent technical patterns and fundamental factors suggest a potential inflection point in price direction for the near term.
—
**Key Market Drivers Impacting AUD/USD**
– **Risk Sentiment**: The Australian dollar is often seen as a risk-sensitive currency. Global equity swings, US Treasury yield fluctuations, and general investor appetite for risk assets influence AUD/USD movements.
– **Interest Rate Expectations**: Divergence in central bank policies, in particular actions by the US Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), impact currency valuation.
– **Commodity Prices**: Australia’s economy is closely tied to commodities like iron ore and coal. Prices of these exports can heavily sway the AUD.
– **Recent Economic Indicators**: US inflation, employment data, and Australian consumer and business sentiment have all shaped recent trends.
—
**Technical Analysis**
*Price Behavior and Market Structure*
– On the daily chart, AUD/USD formed a clear higher low near the 0.6340 level earlier this month, beginning a short-term bullish phase.
– Price action has found resistance around 0.6520 to 0.6540, indicating a supply zone attracting sellers.
– The pair currently trades between its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This signifies indecision, but also the potential for an imminent breakout.
*Key Support and Resistance Levels*
Bullet-point summary of notable price zones:
– **Resistance Levels**:
– 0.6520: Recent swing high, frequent rejection point.
– 0.6550: Psychological round number as well as previous order block area.
– 0.6600: Medium-term resistance and possible target for bullish momentum.
– **Support Levels**:
– 0.6470: Immediate intraday support, where buyers have stabilized price.
– 0.6445: Next minor support level, seen as an area of interest for buyers.
– 0.6410: The most significant short-term support area; a break here could trigger rapid downside.
*Indicators and Momentum*
– **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: Currently near the 50 mark, which implies neutrality. Traders are watching for a move above 60 or below 40 for directional clues.
– **Moving Averages**: The 20-period EMA is trending marginally higher, reflective of the current neutral to mildly bullish tone.
– **MACD**: Marginally positive but lacks strong conviction, confirming the balance of momentum in the pair.
—
**Recent Fundamental Developments**
A look at the most recent economic releases and their impact:
– **Australian Labor Market
Read more on AUD/USD trading.