**AUD/USD Forecast for September 5, 2025: Technical Analysis and Broader Market Insights**
*Original insights and technical analysis based on Samuel Lowes’s article for DailyForex.com, expanded and supplemented with additional research and market context.*
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**Introduction: Understanding the Recent AUD/USD Landscape**
The AUD/USD—also known as the “Aussie”—represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the US Dollar. This pair holds major status in the global forex market, widely favored for its liquidity and sensitivity to global risk sentiment. September 2025 finds the pair at a crossroads: it faces shifting macroeconomic headwinds and evolving technical patterns that demand close scrutiny from traders and investors alike.
With central banks in Australia and the United States adopting diverging monetary policy paths, and commodity prices experiencing volatility, the currency pair has exhibited sharp swings in recent weeks. Central to this analysis are the technical factors shaping the market’s direction and the broader economic and geopolitical trends influencing both currencies.
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**Technical Analysis Recap: Key Support and Resistance Zones**
Over the past sessions leading up to September 5, 2025, AUD/USD faced significant volatility. Samuel Lowes, technical analyst at DailyForex, outlined several crucial developments:
**Critical Support and Resistance Points**
– **Support at 0.6520 region**: This level emerged as a persistent floor during seller attempts to push the rate lower. Buyers appeared near this band, halting deeper declines.
– **Resistance at 0.6600 and 0.6630**: The 0.6600 threshold, already a psychological barrier for market participants, acted in confluence with another resistance band at 0.6630. Breakouts above this region require strong upward momentum and risk-positive market sentiment.
– **Trend insights**: The pair trades just below its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), suggesting a mildly bearish medium-term outlook. The 200-day EMA, higher up near 0.6700, provides a longer-term upside target should bullish momentum emerge.
**Technical indicators:**
– **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Currently hovers around the neutral 50 zone, implying a wait-and-see approach among traders without clear overbought or oversold signals.
– **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** Fluctuates near the signal line, showing the absence of dominant bullish or bearish momentum.
**Candlestick patterns:**
– Recent daily candles display long lower wicks, indicating that declines are being bought, if not aggressively defended. This suggests undercurrents of demand at dips within the broader range.
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**Macro Fundamental Drivers: Australian Dollar in Focus**
To augment technical readings, understanding the fundamental backdrop is essential. The Australian Dollar’s value is largely influenced by factors including domestic economic data, commodity price fluctuations, and China’s economic trajectory, as well as Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy.
**Key Macro Influences:**
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