**Pairs in Focus: Forecast and Technical Analysis for September 14-19, 2025**
*Adapted from analysis by DailyForex, with supplementary insights from Bloomberg and ForexLive.*
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The forex markets continue to be shaped by central bank policy shifts, evolving economic indicators, and notable price actions in key currency pairs. As traders look ahead to the week from September 14th through 19th, 2025, a technical and fundamental analysis of crucial pairs is essential for informed trading decisions. This overview details likely scenarios and critical levels for major FX pairs, integrating cross-market influences and expert commentary.
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## Recent Market Context
Over the last month, shifting expectations for monetary policy in the US, Eurozone, and Asia have driven significant volatility. The US Federal Reserve’s relative hawkishness, persistent inflation prints, and mixed global growth signals have produced new trends and potential inflection points.
– **US Dollar Strength:** The USD has found broad support due to resilient job data and sticky core inflation, pushing the USD Index to multi-month highs.
– **EUR Volatility:** Eurozone’s economic growth remains sluggish, heightening uncertainty regarding further ECB holds or cuts.
– **Commodity Currencies:** AUD and NZD struggle with falling commodity prices and cautious central bank tones.
– **Safe Havens:** JPY weakens on BOJ dovishness, while CHF and gold maintain some haven allure.
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## EUR/USD Technical and Fundamental Outlook
### Overview
The EUR/USD pair continues to trade under pressure, reflecting the divergence between cautious ECB signaling and the Fed’s data-dependent path. Last week, EUR/USD fell below 1.0700 support, nearing levels not seen since early 2023.
### Key Drivers
– Divergent monetary policies: The Fed’s current stance versus the ECB’s hesitancy impacts capital flows.
– Eurozone data: Weak growth and inflation miss keep euro bulls sidelined.
– Risk sentiment: Shifts in global equity and energy markets spill over into currency volatility.
### Technical Analysis
– **Support Levels:**
– 1.0650: Recent minor low, likely to provide initial support.
– 1.0600: Psychological round number, with cluster of previous lows.
– 1.0520: Multi-month bottom, next downside target if bearish momentum continues.
– **Resistance Levels:**
– 1.0770: Last week’s breakdown area, first hurdle for recovery.
– 1.0830: Key pivot from July.
– 1.0900: Major psychological level, aligns with 100-day EMA.
– **Indicators:**
– RSI on daily is nearing oversold territory, suggesting potential for brief pause in selling.
– 50 and 100-day EMAs confirm bearish alignment.
**Scenario:**
If 1.0650 fails, momentum could carry EUR/USD towards 1.0600 and lower. Only a sustained return above 1.
Read more on AUD/USD trading.