**AUD/USD Forecast: Analysis and Outlook for September 16, 2025**
*Based on an article by DailyForex.com*
The Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) currency pair is one of the most actively traded pairs on the forex market, making it a key focus for both short-term and long-term traders. This pair not only reflects the economic health of Australia and the United States but also highlights broader trends in commodity demand, risk sentiment, and monetary policy divergence between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
This in-depth analysis will discuss recent price action, technical indicators, fundamental influences, and potential scenarios for the AUD/USD pair as we move into mid-September 2025.
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## Recent Price Action
– The AUD/USD pair closed last week with a mild upward bias, trading close to the 0.6700 level.
– There were periods of volatility after releases of important US macroeconomic data, but the pair appeared resilient, supported by firmer commodity prices.
– The range for the week was approximately 0.6620 support to 0.6760 resistance.
### Intraday Movement
– Intraday trading saw the pair oscillate, with buyers stepping in around 0.6620 and sellers becoming more aggressive near the upper resistance range.
– The 50-period moving average provided dynamic short-term support on the 4-hour chart, helping to cap any sharp downward moves.
### Weekly Perspective
– The pair has been gradually recovering from lows posted during a sell-off in August 2025.
– Despite rallies, the AUD/USD has not yet been able to establish a convincing uptrend, indicating market indecision or cautious optimism.
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## Technical Analysis
### Key Support and Resistance Levels
– **Immediate resistance**: 0.6760. A break above this would open up the 0.6820 area as the next target.
– **Major resistance**: 0.6890, where previous rallies have failed.
– **Immediate support**: 0.6620, which has held up well in recent weeks.
– **Stronger support**: 0.6580 and then 0.6525. These levels could attract buyers if the downside is tested.
### Moving Averages
– The 50-day simple moving average is crossing bullishly above the 200-day moving average, hinting at a potential trend change, but confirmation is still needed.
– Price has stayed above the 100-day moving average for several sessions, which supports the positive short-term outlook.
### Momentum Indicators
– Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart hovers around 54, suggesting moderate bullish momentum but no overbought signal yet.
– The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is above the signal line, confirming the slight bullish bias.
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## Fundamental Analysis
### Australian Economic Overview
– The RBA has signaled that it will keep monetary
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