**AUD/USD Forex Technical Analysis and Trading Signals: Extended Analysis for October 30, 2025**
*Based on an article by Christopher Lewis at DailyForex.com, with additional insights and context for traders.*
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## Overview
The AUD/USD currency pair represents the exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the US dollar. This pair is widely traded and reflects the economic relationship between Australia, a major commodity exporter, and the United States, the world’s largest economy. As we approach the end of October 2025, the currency pair exhibits significant volatility resulting from global macroeconomic factors, domestic data releases, and market sentiment.
This analysis extends the technical review provided by Christopher Lewis and supplements it with broader market context, providing traders with a comprehensive outlook and actionable trade ideas.
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## Key Market Drivers
### 1. Global Economic Climate
– **US Monetary Policy**: The US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions continue to shape currency flows. Since early 2025, the tightening cycle has driven the US dollar strength, limiting upside potential for AUD/USD.
– **Australian Economic Performance**: Australia faces unique challenges, especially due to fluctuating commodity prices, Chinese demand, and domestic inflation pressures.
– **Geopolitical Risks**: Tensions in the Asia-Pacific region and trade policy uncertainties impact investor risk appetite, affecting the AUD’s status as a risk-sensitive currency.
### 2. Recent Macroeconomic Data
– **US Data**: Recent US GDP figures show steady, albeit slowing growth. The inflation rate remains above the Federal Reserve’s target.
– **Australian Data**: Inflation in Australia has been cooling, prompting speculation about the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) next moves. Employment has been stable but lacks significant growth momentum.
– **China’s Influence**: As Australia’s leading trade partner, China’s economic health significantly influences the AUD. Recent slowdowns in Chinese growth have translated into a drag on the Australian currency.
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## Technical Analysis of AUD/USD
### 1. Current Price Structure
– **Price Action**: As of October 30, 2025, the AUD/USD remains in a downward trend. Bears exert control, pushing the pair lower from key resistance levels.
– **Support and Resistance Zones**:
– **Resistance**: Major resistance is seen near the 0.6500 area, a psychologically significant round number and prior supply zone.
– **Support**: Downside support sits around 0.6300, with additional structural support near the 0.6250 level.
### 2. Moving Averages
– **200-Day EMA**: The price is trading consistently below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, confirming the prevailing bearish trend.
– **50-Day EMA**: The 50-day EMA also converges above the price, adding more downward pressure.
### 3. Trendlines and Patterns
– **Descending Channel**: The pair is confined within a well-defined downward channel,
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