**AUD/USD Forex Technical Analysis and Signal for November 19, 2025**
*Original analysis inspired by Adam Lemon, published at DailyForex*
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**Market Overview**
The AUD/USD currency pair remains under the spotlight as traders focus on ongoing economic data from both Australia and the United States. Recent price action has highlighted significant volatility influenced by central bank policy updates, employment numbers, and risk sentiment shifts. As of November 19, 2025, the pair is navigating crucial technical levels, and traders are seeking clear signals in an environment of uncertainty.
**Recent Price Drivers**
Several factors have contributed to recent movements in the AUD/USD:
– **Federal Reserve Policy:** The Fed’s recent decisions and statements regarding interest rates and inflation targets have influenced the dollar’s strength against its peers.
– **Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Actions:** The RBA’s stance on rate cuts or hikes, as well as its commentary on the domestic economic outlook, have played a pivotal role.
– **Economic Data Releases:** Australian employment data and US inflation numbers have caused increased volatility in intraday trading.
– **Geopolitical Developments:** Global trade relations and broader geopolitical tensions have shifted risk appetite, impacting demand for the commodity-linked Australian dollar.
**Technical Analysis**
**Daily Chart Outlook:**
– **Support Levels:** The pair has formed a support base near 0.6400, a psychological round number and a level where buyers have previously shown interest.
– **Resistance Levels:** The immediate resistance to watch is around 0.6530, just below the October high. A sustained breakout above this could expose the 0.6600 zone.
– **Trend Structure:** While the broader trend over the past quarter has been bearish, short-term price action shows that the pair is attempting a corrective rebound, with higher lows forming since late October.
– **Moving Averages:** The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is trending slightly downward, capping upside efforts near 0.6520, while the 200-day SMA lingers above near 0.6600. These averages remain valuable dynamic support and resistance zones.
**Oscillator Signals:**
– **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** Currently, the RSI hovers near 48, slightly below the neutral 50 mark, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This positions the pair for potential directional moves if corresponding momentum builds.
– **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** The MACD histogram is narrowing, indicating weakening bearish momentum and the possibility of a bullish crossover should price break above immediate resistance.
**Price Action Patterns:**
– **Candlestick Formations:** Recent daily candles have left long lower wicks near support, highlighting persistent buyer interest at lower prices.
– **Consolidation Zone:** On the four-hour chart, AUD/USD is oscillating within a defined range between 0.6420 and 0.6510, with volatility contracting ahead of anticipated breakout attempts
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