Original article by: Christopher Lewis
Source: DailyForex.com – “EUR/USD Forex Signal: 30 December 2025”
EUR/USD Technical Analysis and Forecast – 30 December 2025
The EUR/USD currency pair faced a modest rally during the Asian and early European sessions on 29 December 2025. Despite recent attempts to push higher, the pair remains under the influence of broader macroeconomic and technical factors. As the final trading week of the year approaches its end, forex traders are cautiously watching for signals that may set the tone going into January. This article presents a comprehensive technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair, reviews recent trends, identifies potential trading setups, and outlines key technical areas to watch.
Recent Market Behavior:
– During Thursday’s trading, the EUR/USD pair attempted to rally but struggled to maintain momentum beyond the 1.1100 area. The movement suggests supply pressure still exists near those levels.
– The pair has found itself oscillating within a relatively tight range, with market liquidity beginning to thin ahead of the New Year holiday period.
– Broad US dollar weakness earlier in December helped the euro gradually advance, but the pair has yet to establish a decisive breakout from recent consolidation zones.
Technical Landscape:
– On the daily chart, the EUR/USD currently trades near the 1.1080 mark, showing resilience above technical support at 1.1000. That level has acted as a basing zone for the pair during the last several sessions.
– The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) continues to offer dynamic support below, currently residing around the 1.0945 area. This technical indicator has been trailing upward, reflective of underlying bullish momentum.
– The 200-day EMA lies further below, near the 1.0860 mark, and represents a more significant long-term support zone that traders should monitor if bearish pressure re-emerges.
Technical Indicators Assessment:
– Moving Averages: The 50-day EMA is positively sloped and currently offers a foundation for short-term bullish attempts. A crossover well above this area suggests upward traction is still viable.
– Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is moderately tilted toward the upside on daily charts, currently sitting in the 58–60 range, which suggests buyers are engaging, though conditions are not yet overbought.
– MACD: The MACD on the daily chart shows bullish bias, with the MACD line trading above its signal line. However, histogram momentum has marginally declined in recent sessions, indicating slowing traction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
– Support Levels:
– 1.1000: This psychological level has proven to be a temporary floor for the pair recently.
– 1.0945: The area marked by the 50-day EMA, supportive in recent pullbacks.
– 1.0860: A major level associated with the 200-day EMA, offering longer-term support.
– Resistance Levels:
– 1.1100: Acts as immediate resistance, having capped upside momentum several times in the past week.
– 1.1150: Represents the next critical resistance, marked by highs established earlier in December.
– 1.1200: A significant psychological ceiling that could attract selling interest or trigger profit-taking if reached.
Short-Term Outlook:
– With the pair hovering just under 1.1100, market participants remain cautious in the short term. Thin trading conditions during the year-end period reduce the likelihood of sustained moves, although short-lived volatility spikes are possible.
– Should the EUR/USD break above 1.1100 with conviction, it could open the door for another run toward 1.1150 and possibly 1.1200 in extension. However, the lack of directional volume may derail follow-through, especially if U.S. economic data releases remain muted.
– On the downside, failure to hold above 1.1000 would invite renewed bearish activity, potentially testing the technical floor at the
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