USD/JPY: Yen remains pressured by policy divide
The USD/JPY currency pair continues to trade at elevated levels, with the Japanese yen under persistent pressure against the backdrop of a wide policy differential between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.
Fundamental Overview:
– The Bank of Japan remains committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy and yield curve control, maintaining low interest rates to support economic recovery.
– In contrast, the US Federal Reserve’s stance remains hawkish, with policymakers signaling a cautious approach to rate cuts amid persistent inflationary pressures.
– This divergence supports the US dollar against the yen, sustaining USD/JPY near multi-month highs.
Technical Analysis:
– Support for USD/JPY is observed near 148.00, a level tested multiple times recently.
– Resistance stands close to 150.00; a clear break above could lead to further gains toward 152.00.
– Momentum indicators suggest bullish continuation, although some overbought signals warrant caution.
Additional Considerations:
– Global risk sentiment typically influences the yen, often seen as a safe haven.
– Any shifts in geopolitical tensions or market volatility could trigger sudden yen strength.
– The upcoming Bank of Japan meeting remains a key event, with markets closely watching for any signs of policy adjustment.
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