USD/CAD

G10 Currency Outlook 2025: Navigating Divergent Monetary Policies, Shifting Flows, and Global Uncertainties

As we move into H2 2025, the G10 FX outlook highlights ongoing monetary policy divergence—with the Fed’s hawkish stance supporting USD strength near term—while ECB, BoE, and BoC ease amid mixed inflation and growth signals. Geopolitical risks, shifting capital flows, and sticky US inflation keep markets cautious. Expect USD to peak around 106 DXY by Q3 before gradual easing in 2026; EUR faces headwinds despite ECB cuts. Carry and yield spreads remain key drivers as central banks navigate uncertain terrains.

AUD/USD

“US Dollar Standoff Continues: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and AUD/USD Under Pressure Amid Trade Tensions & Central Bank Cues”

US Dollar shows mixed signals after weekend US-China tariff moves. EUR/USD faces resistance near 1.0920 amid ECB caution and Fed tightening bias. USD/JPY supported by safe-haven demand as risk sentiment dims. AUD/USD under pressure from trade tensions and weaker commodity outlook. Traders watch for shifts in policy cues and global growth prospects. #Forex #USD #EURUSD #USDJPY #AUDUSD

GBP/USD

GBP/USD Outlook 2025: Will the Pound Break Higher Amid Rising US Dollar Hurdles?

GBP/USD remains center stage for the week of July 14, 2025. Focus is on the Bank of England’s policy updates amid sticky UK inflation and softening growth, while the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance continues to underpin the US Dollar. Key UK inflation, wage, and retail data alongside US CPI and labor reports will steer near-term moves. Technical watch set between support near 1.2750 and resistance approaching 1.3000. Traders should brace for volatility as fundamental crosscurrents intensify. Analysis based on Forex.com Research Team insights.

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